Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 353.103790 399.855250 451.567041 513.194460 584.879562 665.919674 764.873696
2025-11-30 283.638079 345.129455 419.138556 515.528440 638.849328 792.818285 1001.930220
2025-12-07 241.540666 307.417462 391.050774 506.402229 663.550812 873.359165 1180.120552
2025-12-14 213.304719 281.511195 371.943072 502.718678 690.521567 956.019519 1369.949174
2025-12-21 186.318347 253.128707 344.855293 482.716003 689.489648 996.141053 1501.091585
2025-12-28 175.276561 244.988144 344.045826 498.753300 741.189975 1118.749497 1776.752661
2026-01-04 167.024322 239.617321 346.093323 518.448762 799.938456 1259.285726 2105.156556
2026-01-11 155.654080 228.307806 337.799834 520.596856 830.091152 1356.386327 2374.525161
2026-01-18 142.847202 213.523958 322.539996 509.467290 836.059086 1411.976009 2576.281741
2026-01-25 131.894405 200.617920 308.923307 499.309791 841.911835 1467.239197 2786.039916
2026-02-01 126.837453 196.606327 309.160858 512.488668 890.520651 1607.580076 3193.923268
2026-02-08 119.620697 188.437138 301.703751 511.196102 911.920186 1698.175323 3513.280440
2026-02-15 111.973369 179.119248 291.771491 504.897186 923.943255 1773.763396 3819.946417
2026-02-22 106.485696 173.046058 286.938489 507.525728 953.886391 1891.173235 4251.608231
2026-03-01 99.753924 164.290900 276.591448 498.515975 958.867225 1955.305499 4566.043933
2026-03-08 94.433441 157.618645 269.429985 494.906398 974.532410 2045.356218 4968.082797
2026-03-15 87.375903 147.361577 254.911501 475.264287 953.378347 2047.430445 5133.208493
2026-03-22 85.566939 146.472538 257.746078 491.012013 1011.938564 2247.724802 5906.967883
2026-03-29 84.274475 146.420276 262.122859 510.349523 1081.175110 2486.442683 6863.758199
2026-04-05 81.016243 142.451571 258.585781 512.458443 1110.418683 2628.142163 7560.068767
2026-04-12 76.545118 135.890458 249.459924 501.531562 1106.956841 2682.665678 7986.079555
2026-04-19 72.504981 129.918421 241.103853 491.558403 1104.680275 2740.262666 8440.525863
2026-04-26 71.089391 128.966796 242.843186 504.497990 1161.742202 2974.851567 9604.440277